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Pakistan Relations Tracker · Centre for Central Asia & Eurasian Studies

Pakistan–Tajikistan Relations Tracker

Pakistan-Tajikistan relations are framed around a Strategic Partnership (established 2021) emphasizing security, energy and connectivity, most visibly through the CASA-1000 electricity transmission project nearing completion. The relationship has a dense visit calendar (multiple PM-level visits in 2024-2025 alone) but trade remains very small in absolute terms — among the smallest of Pakistan's three Central Asian relationships covered here — and, like the region generally, has been hit hard by the Pakistan-Afghanistan border closure since October 2025, which one report indicates cut Pakistan-Tajikistan trade by nearly 70%.

Relationship Overview
Capital
Dushanbe
Relations established
6 June 1992
Region
Central Asia

Pakistan-Tajikistan relations are framed around a Strategic Partnership (established 2021) emphasizing security, energy and connectivity, most visibly through the CASA-1000 electricity transmission project nearing completion. The relationship has a dense visit calendar (multiple PM-level visits in 2024-2025 alone) but trade remains very small in absolute terms — among the smallest of Pakistan's three Central Asian relationships covered here — and, like the region generally, has been hit hard by the Pakistan-Afghanistan border closure since October 2025, which one report indicates cut Pakistan-Tajikistan trade by nearly 70%.

Embassies: Pakistan opened its embassy in Dushanbe in 1993. Tajikistan opened a Consulate General in Islamabad in 1997, upgraded to a full embassy on 23 February 2005; Tajikistan also maintains a Consulate General in Karachi.

Diplomatic Ties & High-Level Visits

Pakistan and Tajikistan elevated relations to a Strategic Partnership in September 2021 during PM Imran Khan's visit to Dushanbe, building on declarations dating to 2017-2018. Since then the relationship has sustained a regular rhythm of Bilateral Political Consultations (6th round held September 2025) and reciprocal visits, including PM Shehbaz Sharif's bilateral visit in July 2024 and his participation in Tajikistan's High-Level International Conference on Glaciers' Preservation in May 2025. The agenda consistently centers on energy (CASA-1000), connectivity to Pakistani seaports, defense/security (including counter-terrorism given shared concerns about Afghanistan), and trade — with trade the least developed pillar relative to stated ambition.

  • 2024-07PK-to-country
    PM Muhammad Shehbaz Sharif — Bilateral visit to Tajikistan, 2-3 July 2024
    Reviewed cooperation across trade, energy, connectivity and security; joint statement issued
  • 2025-05PK-to-country
    PM Muhammad Shehbaz Sharif — Visit to Tajikistan, 29-30 May 2025, to attend the High-Level International Conference on Glaciers' Preservation
    Participation in multilateral climate/glaciers conference; bilateral meetings on the margins
  • 2025-09PK-to-country
    Additional Foreign Secretary (West Asia and Afghanistan), Pakistan; Deputy Minister for Foreign Affairs, Tajikistan — 6th Session of Bilateral Political Consultations, Dushanbe, 29-30 September 2025
    Covered political/parliamentary ties, trade and investment, defence and security, energy, connectivity, cultural/educational exchange, multilateral cooperation and consular affairs; pledged early operationalization of CASA-1000
  • 2026-06bilateral
    Joint Commission on Trade delegations — 8th Session of the Joint Commission Meeting (JCM)
    Agreed a three-year roadmap to raise bilateral trade to $200 million
AgreementDateScope
Establishment of Strategic Partnership between the Republic of Tajikistan and the Islamic Republic of Pakistan2021-09Framework covering security, mutual trust, countering shared threats, regional stability, and political/economic/humanitarian cooperation; builds on 2017 and 2018 declarations
CASA-1000 (Central Asia-South Asia Electricity Transmission and Trade Project) intergovernmental frameworkmulti-year, ongoing since ~2016 construction startJoint venture between Tajikistan, Kyrgyzstan, Afghanistan and Pakistan to transmit up to 1,000 MW of surplus Tajik/Kyrgyz hydropower to Pakistan
Three-year trade roadmap ($200 million target)2026-06Agreed at the 8th Joint Commission Meeting to raise bilateral trade from its current low base
12 accords covering trade, anti-corruption, infrastructure, education and culture (cited in earlier bilateral visits)circa 2021Broad-based cooperation package signed around the time of the Strategic Partnership declaration; individual instrument names not independently verified

Trade & Economic Relations

Trade is the weakest pillar of the relationship in absolute terms, running in the tens of millions of dollars annually with a large surplus in Pakistan's favor, and figures vary noticeably across the sources found, indicating no single authoritative current figure could be confirmed. Both governments have acknowledged this underperformance and set a modest three-year target of $200 million (2026), a level Pakistan already exceeds with several other Central Asian states. The October 2025 Pakistan-Afghanistan border closure has been especially damaging here, since Tajikistan's overland trade with Pakistan depends entirely on transit through Afghanistan; one regional outlet reported bilateral trade fell by nearly 70% as a direct result.

YearTrade volumeSource
FY2024-25$29MPakistani government figures cited in press reporting: bilateral trade of approximately US$29 million (exports ~US$26 million, imports ~US$3.16 million) for fiscal year 2024-25
2023$53MAlternative figure cited in press reporting: Pakistan exports of ~US$48.94 million and imports of ~US$3.8 million for calendar year 2023 — this figure and the FY2024-25 figure above come from different reports and could not be reconciled against a single primary SBP/PBS release; treat both as approximate

Pakistan exports to Tajikistan

  • textiles
  • rice and food products
  • pharmaceuticals

Tajikistan exports to Pakistan

  • minimal, reported at roughly US$3-4 million annually
  • raw materials/agricultural products (not separately itemized in cited sources)

Investment: Investment cooperation is at an early, largely aspirational stage, discussed mainly through Joint Working Groups on oil/gas, energy, education and tourism, and a nominal Joint Business Council. No large verified joint-venture or FDI figures were found; hydropower (via CASA-1000) is the one area of concrete, if not yet fully operational, capital cooperation.

Connectivity & Energy

Energy is the single most substantive area of Pakistan-Tajikistan cooperation: the CASA-1000 project will transmit Tajik (and Kyrgyz) surplus summer hydropower to Pakistan via Afghanistan, and Tajik officials have targeted completion by end-2026 with commercial operation expected in 2027. Pakistan recently negotiated down contractor claims on its side of the project, saving over $27 million. Broader transport connectivity — road/rail links from Tajikistan through Afghanistan to Karachi and Gwadar — has been discussed in strategic-partnership documents since 2021 but, like similar plans with Uzbekistan and Kazakhstan, is currently stalled by the Pakistan-Afghanistan border closure and conflict since October 2025, since Afghanistan is the only overland route between the two countries.

CASA-1000 (Central Asia-South Asia Electricity Transmission and Trade Project)
advanced/near-completion on the Pakistani side; Tajik officials targeting completion by end-2026 with operations expected in 2027; a March 2026 Sweden-based negotiation capped contractor 'Care & Custody' costs at $9 million (shared Pakistan-Tajikistan) through February 2028
The flagship, and to date most concrete, cooperation project in the bilateral relationship, intended to supply up to 1,000 MW to Pakistan during summer months
Tajikistan-Afghanistan-Pakistan road/rail transit links (to Karachi/Gwadar)
conceptual, referenced in the 2021 Strategic Partnership framework; not under active construction and currently disrupted by the Afghan border closure
Would give landlocked Tajikistan an alternative southern trade route, but implementation depends on Afghan transit stability

Security, Culture & People-to-People Ties

Defense cooperation is real but narrower than with Uzbekistan or Kazakhstan, centered on Pakistani arms sales to Tajikistan and training exchanges rather than large joint exercises; both countries share an interest in Afghanistan-related security given Tajikistan's own long, historically tense border and ethnic-Tajik ties to northern Afghanistan. Culture and education cooperation is modest, resting on military and civilian training placements and general references to cooperation in education/tourism working groups, without evidence of large-scale scholarship programs or diaspora ties comparable to Uzbekistan's.

Defense & security

  • Tajikistan signed MoUs to purchase Pakistan-manufactured weapons (agreed around the President of Tajikistan's June 2021 visit to Pakistan)
  • Tajik military personnel undertake study/retraining placements in Pakistan alongside other partner countries (Kazakhstan, Azerbaijan, China, Czech Republic)
  • Defense and security cooperation was a stated agenda item at the September 2025 Bilateral Political Consultations, alongside shared concern over the post-2021 Afghanistan situation

Culture & people-to-people

  • Joint Working Groups on education and tourism exist under the Strategic Partnership framework, though specific scholarship numbers were not found in available sources
  • General cultural-exchange commitments were included among the roughly 12 accords signed around 2021, covering education and culture alongside trade and anti-corruption cooperation
  • No large verified Tajik diaspora in Pakistan or Pakistani diaspora in Tajikistan; people-to-people ties remain limited relative to trade/energy cooperation

Sources & Methodology

This page is compiled from open-source, primarily official material (Ministry of Foreign Affairs Pakistan, State Bank of Pakistan / Pakistan Bureau of Statistics trade data, embassy statements, and joint communiqués), cross-checked against reputable news reporting. Figures and dates are marked as unverified where a primary source could not be confirmed. This tracker is a living document and is updated as new agreements, visits, or data are published.

Sources consulted
  • Ministry of Foreign Affairs Pakistan, 'Visit of the President of Republic of Tajikistan to Pakistan'
  • Ministry of Foreign Affairs Pakistan, 'Pakistan and Tajikistan hold 6th Session of Bilateral Political Consultations in Dushanbe', press release
  • Ministry of Foreign Affairs Pakistan, 'Joint Statement between the Islamic Republic of Pakistan and the Republic of Tajikistan at the Culmination of the Official Visit of the Prime Minister of Pakistan to Tajikistan'
  • Ministry of Foreign Affairs Pakistan, 'Establishment of Strategic Partnership between the Republic of Tajikistan and the Islamic Republic of Pakistan'
  • Ministry of Foreign Affairs Pakistan, Central Asia country page (mofa.gov.pk/central-asia)
  • Ministry of Foreign Affairs of the Republic of Tajikistan, 'Relations of Tajikistan with Pakistan' (mfa.tj)
  • Embassy of the Republic of Tajikistan in Islamabad, 'Relations of Tajikistan with Pakistan' (mfa.tj/en/islamabad)
  • Arab News, 'Pakistan, Tajikistan agree to increase bilateral trade to $200 million in 3 years'
  • Caspianpost.com, 'Tajikistan, Pakistan Establish Joint Commission to Boost Trade, Energy'
  • English.CapitalNewsPoint.com, 'Pakistan, Tajikistan Agree on Roadmap to Boost Bilateral Trade to $200 Million', 2026-06
  • Media Online Today, 'Pakistan, Tajikistan set $200 million trade target, deepen economic ties at 8th JCM'
  • Arab News, 'CASA-1000 power line project with Pakistan to be completed next year — Tajikistan minister'
  • Dawn, 'Tajikistan to complete CASA-1000 by end of 2026, minister hopes'
  • Profit (Pakistan Today), 'Pakistan secures over $27 million savings in CASA-1000 after contractor claim reduced', 2026-03-20
  • Arab News, 'Pakistan, Tajikistan pledge early operationalization of CASA-1000 power line project'
  • Modern Diplomacy, 'Regional Connectivity: Tajikistan's Race to Finish CASA-1000 by 2026'
  • Asia Plus (Tajik outlet), 'Closure of Afghan Transit Reduces Pakistan's Trade with Tajikistan by Almost 70%', 2026-08-29
  • PressReader (Pakistan Today, Lahore edition), 'Tajikistan to purchase weapons from Pakistan', 2021-06
  • Asian Regional Integration Center (ADB), 'Pakistan-Tajikistan Preferential Trade Agreement' fact sheet
  • RSIL Pakistan, 'Tajikistan Trade Profile' (Regional Integration Policy Forum)
  • CASA-1000 project overview, Wikipedia (cross-referenced against World Bank project documentation for the additional-financing phase)

Disclaimer: This tracker presents open-source research compiled by the IPDS Centre for Central Asia and Eurasian Studies research desk. It does not represent an official position of the Government of Pakistan, and does not constitute an endorsement by IPDS of any state's position on unresolved disputes referenced herein.